Investment Functions with q in the Presence of Unobserved Persistent Shocks

Kyoo il Kim, Suyong Song, and Jiawei (Brooke) Wang

♦ We study the classical relationship between a firm’s investment and Tobin’s q, for which an unobserved persistent shock is an important factor of investment decision. In our setting, besides the potential measurement problem of q, controlling for the unobserved shock becomes a new challenge. We develop an estimation method that addresses both econometric issues given timing and information set assumptions. Using 16,256 unique public firms in the U.S. from 1975 to 2021, we find that q remains a significant factor of investment even after controlling for the unobserved shock and measurement error.

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