Federal ID: 91-6001537
ISSN: 0022-1090 (Print) | 1756-6916 (Online)
Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Shape of Sovereign Credit Risk
Daniele Bianchi and Teng Jiao ♦ Sovereign CDS spreads price the credit risk embedded in government borrowing. We ask how macroeconomic fundamentals predict that risk, and whether a linear mapping from fundamentals to spreads is adequate. Across a large panel…
